The slope value of 0.4871 mmHg/kg does have a real-world meaning. It means that every
additional 1 kg of weight is associated with a 0.4871 mmHg increase in SBP. If we multiply both
estimates by 10, we could say that every additional 10 kg of body weight is associated with almost
a 5 mmHg SBP increase.
The standard errors of the coefficients
The second column in the regression table often contains the standard errors of the estimated
parameters. In Figure 16-4, it is labeled Std. Error, but it could be stated as SE or use a similar term.
We use SE to mean standard error for the rest of this chapter.
Because data from your sample always have random fluctuations, any estimate you calculate
from your data will be subject to random fluctuations, whether it is a simple summary statistic or
a regression coefficient. The SE of your estimate tells you how precisely you were able to
estimate the parameter from your data, which is very important if you plan to use the value of the
slope (or the intercept) in a subsequent calculation.
Keep these facts in mind about SE:
SEs always have the same units as the coefficients themselves. In the example shown in Figure
16-4, the SE of the intercept has units of mmHg, and the SE of the slope has units of mmHg/kg.
Round off the estimated values. It is not helpful to report unnecessary digits. In this example, the
SE of the intercept is about 14.7, so you can say that the estimate of the intercept in this regression
is about
mmHg. In the same way, you can say that the estimated slope is
mmHg/kg.
When reporting regression coefficients in professional publications, you may state the SE like this:
“The predicted increase in systolic blood pressure with weight (±1 SE) was
mmHg/kg.”
If you know the value of the SE, you can easily calculate a confidence interval (CI) around the
estimate (see Chapter 10 for more information on CIs). These expressions provide a very good
approximation of the 95 percent confidence limits (abbreviated CL), which mark the low and high
ends of the CI around a regression coefficient:
More informally, these are written as
.
So, the 95 percent CI around the slope in our example is calculated as
, which
works out to
, with the final confidence limits of 0.14 to 0.84 mmHg. If you submit a
manuscript for publication, you may express the precision of the results in terms of CIs instead of SEs,
like this: “The predicted increase in SBP as a function of body weight was 0.49 mmHg/kg
.”